China says unlikely large pieces of space station will crash to earth

China says unlikely large pieces of space station will crash to earth

But on March 16, 2016, China told the United Nations that Tiangong-1 had "ceased functioning", but did not give a reason why.

The space station has been slowing down and when it can't go fast enough to stay in orbit, it will reenter the earth's atmosphere.

Chinese space station Tiangong-1 satellite reportedly over Wellington. The newest ESA reentry forecast points to Sunday, April 1, April Fools' Day.

The chances are 1 million times greater of winning the Powerball jackpot than by being hit. It is estimated to be less than a 1 in 1 trillion chance that a particular person will be injured by falling space debris.

In September 2016, Chinese officials confirmed that they had lost control of the space lab.

The ministry said the chance of a person being hit by debris from the Tiangong 1 is nearly none and such a case has never been reported.

At over 10m in length and weighing more than 8 tonnes, it is larger than most of the man-made objects that routinely re-enter Earth's atmosphere, reports the BBC.

So why did the impact window narrow?

The Tiangong-1 first launched in 2011 and survived longer in space than its original two-year lifespan, according to Mashable. "Those are unknowns that we typically never actually know", said Roger Thompson, an engineer at Aerospace Corporation's Center for Orbital and Reentry Debris Studies, whose work includes running those calculations.

"And the still small steps we take, like the ISS and other space stations, are proof that this part of our evolution is occurring right now".

If you're drawing that in your mind globe, it means Ireland is way out of the danger zone - so unless you happen to be somewhere in that general vicinity in the next couple of days, you could potentially see Tiangong-1 come down in front of you. "By comparison, the risk of being hit by lightning is 1 in 1.4 million, and the risk that someone in the US will be killed in a hurricane is about 1 in six million", the aerospace authority said in a public advisory. Satellites in low-Earth orbit drag slightly on the atmosphere and slowly lose height. The altitude of the space station was reported at 182.462 km when it was spotted and during the 81 seconds, it dropped to 182.407 km. Head over to Satview.org, which tracks the positioning of Tiangong 1 in real time.

Exactly when the Tiangong space station will hit the Earth is still up in the air but scientists are tracking the station and narrowing down the time.

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